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In “Sync” With Natural Laws of Cause and Effect

Since the February, 1988 issue of the GANN AND ELLIOT WAVE, another natural cause and effect timing point occurred the week beginning Monday, February 29 and ending Friday, March 4. Specifically, trades from the short side were presented in the T-Bonds, Muni-Bonds, T-Notes, T-Bills, and Eurodollars. Trades from the long side were presented in the Live Cattle, Hogs, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and CRB Index.

In chapter III of Gann’s book, “How to Make Profits In Commodities,” Gann states, “Time is the MOST important factor of all and not until sufficient time has expired does any big move start up or down. TIME must be allowed for accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling ) BEFORE the trend can change.”

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Price Pattern Studies I

In this study I have tested all possible two, three, four, and five-day close to open patterns for the T. Bond Futures market from 1978 to 1987. Three items are provided to explain the information. 1) A listing of patterns (Table A). 2) A graphic display of a pattern (Chart B). 3) A chart of June Eurodollars with examples of two of the patterns (#5:(—)), (#12:(+++)),( Chart C.) The Eurodollar chart is used in place of T. Bonds to display an actual day session open. The chart service used shows T. Bond night session opens on the daily bar chart. This study should be used in conjunction with day session opens only.

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Will History Repeat?

A lot of publicity has been generated about the parallel between the 1987-88 market and that of 1929-30, but few realize how precise the technical parallel has been. In fact, the Elliott wave structure of 1982-1988 compares very closely with the 1924-1930 wave structure.

1.The first phase is 1982-1987 versus the 1924-1929 period. The former was a virtual replay of the latter. Both contained fifth wave extensions.

2. The second phase covers the crash period. The decline from the top in both 1929 and 1987 covered exactly 56 days to the crash low point (October 29, 1929 and October 20, 1987). Both declines count as the “A” wave of an “ABC” bear market.

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Gann and the Planets

W.D. Gann used many esoteric techniques to predict future market direction and price targets with amazing accuracy. In the present context, the word “esoteric” means, “understood by only a chosen few” (Webster). These methods were never revealed  in any systematic way, and many of the principles which Gann used in his forecasting system are awaiting your discovery. Some of these principles can be found in some of Gann’s fictional writings, which on the surface do not appear to have much to do with the market. Continue reading Gann and the Planets

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Compuwave

The purpose of this article is to outline how COMPUWAVE analysis is profitable applied to the markets of the 80’s. Compuwave combines the projections of Elliott Wave analysis with today’s computer generated technical studies. The ideal markets to apply COMPUWAVE are those with large volume and broad public participation, so that mass psychology is represented in market moves. The U.S. Treasury Bond futures and the stock index futures markets stand out with these characteristics. Compuwave analysis can be applied to all time frames, from monthly down to intraday price swings.

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Mass Pressure Chart

I started studying the works of the late W.D. Gann in 1973. The Dow Jones Industrials make their high in January of the year and were on their way to their ultimate low of 569 in December of 1974. the grains were in the bull phase os their cycle which would take the soybeans to almost $13.00 a bushel by June.

What was the driving force behind these bull and bear cycles? After much detailed study Mass Psychology was the obvious answer. But what good was this knowledge without knowing ahead of time when they would occur? Evidently, Mr. Gann found the answer, as a study of his now famous yearly forecasts would attest. It would take me almost ten years of study, pouring over historical data and re-reading his writings hundreds of times before I would have the correct “mind set” to understand.

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Continulink Data

Up until now, there have been three major methods of maintaining data and generating charts based on the data. They are as follows and probably account for 98% of data bases in use: One popular method is CSI Perpetual data. This method uses both a nearby contract and the next out contract. The two contracts prices are then averaged and time weighted.

Use of Perpetual synthetic data could result in your trading system giving false signals this is due to the price configuration being distorted due to the strong effect of the back contract. The back contract may display a much different signature and price pattern that the nearby contract your are trading. This can be due to seasonal factors. fundamentals, or thin volume compared to the nearby. In addition, the positive or negative contract premiums can cause major problems as it can distort the actual trend indicated by the nearby contract your are trading. This effect caused by increasing/decreasing spread premium can cause a pronounced change over time to the overall trend appearance.

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Veiled Language Uncovered

It is my understanding that W.D. Gann wrote many of his books and courses in a hidden, veiled language. This was done intentionally. However, it was not designed to deceive the public. He was merely writing in the tradition of the Great Masters who wrote n the language of the astrologer. These Great Masters not only knew what to write but when to write. Gann considered himself to be a Great Master who had something to say and knew of something which would cause his writings to be read and reread by the world-at-large. Gann like the Great Masters like the Great Masters knew of and took advantage of a Time Factor which produces or creates permanency and constant reproduction. This Time Factor was the “when” to write. This is why Gann’s work is still popular today over 30 years since this death.

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W D. Gann’s The Tunnel Thru The Air

Haven studied Gann’s voluminous material since 1977, the book which intrigued me the most was, “The Tunnel Thru The Air”, written in 1927. In the forward, Gann states the book is mysterious and contains a valuable secret”, clothed in veiled language. Finding this secret was an exhilarating experience. However, I could not have found it without a basic course in Astrology and the ability to use an Ephemeris.

Gann states the purpose of the book is to teach the immutable laws of nature. Immutable laws are laws which man cannot change, such as the change of seasons, weather (floods, famines), earthquakes, volcanoes and specifically the rotation of the planets and their geometrical relationships to one another. The book reveals this valuable secret by describing natural astrological cause and effect timing points, where like causes produce similar effects.

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W. D. Gann’s Within Move

It is gratifying to be asked to write an article for a magazine which is interesting in the reality of trading the futures and stock markets. For the small or large trader alike, validity of what we use to trade is critical.

When people realize that trading the markets takes effort they usually start by studying all they can on market principals. Besides finding the best-known and least-followed advice of “cut your losses short and let your profits run”, they read “the trend is your friend”, “trade only when you KNOW what the trend is”, and “buy on reactions in bull markets, sell reactions in bear markets.” These are true enough, but, however well-intended; advice like the above is almost valueless unless it is accompanied with a true definition of trend so you can tell how large your bull or bear market is that you are looking for. Also needed is an indication of the bull or bear market is that you are looking for. Also needed is an indication of the time involved in the forecasted move so you would know if what may only appear at first to be a correction may in fact be a major change in trend.

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