The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is a groundbreaking work that bridges the gaps between the academic view of markets, technical analysis, and profitable trading. The book explores why randomness prevails in markets most, but not all, of the time and how technical analysis can be used to capture statistically validated patterns in certain types of market conditions.
Author’s Introduction:
The book you are holding in your hands is the product of nearly two decades of my study and experience as a trader, covering the full span of actively traded markets and time frames. I owe much to authors and traders who have come before me, for no one produces anything significant in a vacuum. I would not have been successful without the help and guidance of my mentors, but I learned many of the lessons here from my own mistakes. In some ways, this work represents a radical break from many of the books that have preceded it, and I hope it encourages you to question much of the traditional thinking of technical analysis.
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis does not present a rigid system to be strictly followed, nor a set of setups and patterns that can be assembled at the trader’s whim. Rather, it offers a comprehensive approach to the problems of technically motivated, directional trading. The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is structured to be read from beginning to end, but individual sections and chapters stand on their own. Through the entire work, deliberate repetition of important concepts helps to build a complete perspective on many of the problems traders face. The tools and techniques must be adapted to the trader’s personality and business situation, but most will find a firm foundation between these covers.
The title of this book is The Art and Science of Technical Analysis. Science deals primarily with elements that are quantifiable and testable. The process of teaching a science usually focuses on the development of a body of knowledge, procedures, and approaches to data—the precise investigation of what is known and knowable. Art is often seen as more subjective and imprecise, but this is not entirely correct. In reality, neither can exist without the other. Science must deal with the philosophical and epistemological issues of the edges of knowledge, and scientific progress depends on inductive leaps as much as logical steps.
Art rests on a foundation of tools and techniques that can and should be scientifically quantified, but it also points to another mode of knowing that stands somewhat apart from the usual procedures of logic. The two depend on each other: Science without Art is sterile; Art without Science is soft and incomplete. Nowhere is this truer than in the study of modern financial markets.
Contents:
– PART I : The Foundation of Technical Analysis
- The Trader’s Edge
- The Market Cycle and the Four Trades
– PART II : Market Structure
- On Trend
- On Trading Ranges
- Interfaces between Trends and Ranges
– PART III : Trading Strategies
- Practical Trading Templates
- Tools for Confirmation
- Trade Management
- Risk Management
- Trade Examples
– PART IV : The Individual, Self-Directed Trader
- The Trader’s Mind
- Becoming a Trader
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies By Adam Grimes PDF
Nia Graham (verified owner) –
If you only read one trading book, this should be that book. I’ve wasted incredible amounts of time on trading books that basically say the same thing, which isn’t worthwhile. Thank goodness I kept looking and reading, else I wouldn’t have found this book. It’s the one to get. Probably the only truly useful trading book. Like others have said, it won’t tell you which trades to do, but it will teach you how the whole “markets” universe works and you can go from there. This is the one to get and read. Thank you, Mr. Grimes.
Mya Love (verified owner) –
The best book I’ve read on technical analysis. The format, content, and explanations are top notch. Mr. Grimes has written a road map that any trader can use to develop and deploy a solid trading strategy. I like that he teaches an approach that supports looking at charts from multiple views and time frames. Looking forward to using his book to refine my system, develop others, and employ them during the next down market, which will be the true test of how well I’ve learned to apply what this book contains.
Jalen Strickland (verified owner) –
This book will give you a solid foundation about market structure and about how markets works . I don’t like the fact that the author dismiss volume because personally believe that volume is one of the most important things a trader must know. But for market structure, for reading some important things in a trend , etc … this one is a good book . I recommend this book for thoose who already have some sort of trading strategies , I think it’s a good complement but this book won’t give you a major trading frame work …. it’s a great complement.
Harley Mahoney (verified owner) –
Adam has done a fantastic job of sharing his many insights into trading. This is one of those “must have’s” in your trading library. It becomes a reference book and the type you read the first time and then consume the second, third, and fourth. I have used many of the suggestions to tighten up my trading plan. Reading this book had an immediate and positive impact on my trading results. You don’t have to agree with everything (so get over those type of reviews – its not why books are written) – but at the very least least Adam’s thoughts will stimulate your own.
Fantastic! Thank goodness there are traders out there willing to share. When you finish reading this book read Mark Minervini’s,Gil Morales’, then reread WIlliam O’Neil’s. It’s the trading trifecta!
Marco George (verified owner) –
I am a longtime inconsistent trader. I stumbled across Adam’s blog from the website abnormal returns. The blog is different than the others in the way Adam looks at the world, and way generous way he shares information. I looked forward to reading the book, and wasn’t disappointed. Adam doesn’t sugar coat the length and difficulty of the learning process. He emphasizes consistency and discipline. The trading strategies and risk management chapters are excellent. The charts are clear and show both winning and losing trades. I really feel this book will make me a more consistent trader. Adam also offers a free online trading course which I would recommend for new traders or those that feel they could use some guidance.
Isabelle Tang (verified owner) –
Best book ever but been mindfully if you are completely new to trading you will won’t understand I suggest you get your basic knowledge of trading first then buy this only one book to build muscle to your trading. Thanks 👍 I love it
Emilio Ruiz (verified owner) –
I’ve been trading since 1996. I’ve had the CMT designation since 2006. And I’ve read a lot of trading books along the way. This is best book I’ve come across since reading Reminiscences in 1996. Its insights and its underlying fount of market knowledge on a theoretic and purely instinctive plane blew me away. I strongly believe it should be made required reading for CMT candidates (for the CMT 3 level, so as not to utterly confuse them). Ok, that’s it for over the top (but truly felt) compliments. Just buy it and you’ll thank me. I should add that I am a discretionary trader. An Algo trader might feel differently.
Jianna Shah (verified owner) –
Rather than trying to cover everything of technical analysis, Adam focuses on interpreting the basic information in a very artistically and scientifically way. Some parts are pleasantly lengthy but I find them very entertaining. The title says it all!!!
Bottom line: If you are looking for a complete encyclopedia of technical analysis, this is not for you. If you are looking for something that is basic but powerful and efficient, then go ahead and give it a read.
Zain Nunez (verified owner) –
Great book on trading not just Technical analysis. He covers everything from specific trades to focus on all the way to proper mindset and keeping records.
Kara Blackwell (verified owner) –
Grimes provides nothing less than a complete methodology for analyzing price action. His book is exhaustive and rigorous but organized in such a meticulous manner that there’s refreshing simplicity to his presentation, which is just crystal clear on every topic. Grimes is willing to acknowledge and confront the issue of randomness with careful consideration, which I think is something most traders would often rather not acknowledge. It’s alarming how frequently EMH is either ignored or casually dismissed in trading literature. The very notion of price randomness was a full-on system-shock to my psychology early in my trading days. If you are new trader, deal with it, and deal with it early. This book will hep with that and will absolutely refine your thinking. It’s a gift and it may frankly be the best primer on Technical Analysis ever written. I have never read anything better.
Azalea Gates (verified owner) –
If you are interested in learning more about the intricacies and underpinnings of Technical Analysis in macro and micro market environments this is the book for you. Great details, writing, illustrations and format. Worth it!
Layla Ortiz (verified owner) –
Been trading for about 4 years and have read numerous books, watched webinars and took classes. Although there is a lot to learn and absorb, the main problem I have encountered is an organized and logical presentation of trading concepts. Adams book is by far the best I have read in putting the market in context where I can make sense of the trading puzzle.
His teaching of random markets, (the majority of times), with how to recognize supply and demand imbalance opportunities,(at certain times), is an eye opener. My trading has improved immensely and for the first time I have a sense that consistent profitability in the market is possible with identifying, under-standing and internalizing your “edge”.
There is a saying, “When the pupil is ready the teacher will appear”. If your ready, Adam Grimes is a great teacher. I highly recommend this book.
Emery Galvan (verified owner) –
After reading over 300 books on trading (a conservative guess) I can honestly say that the Art and Science of Technical Analysis is one of the absolute best and destined to become an instant classic. In fact, I enjoyed this book so much, I bought both hard cover and Kindle version so that I would always have it at the ready. This book is extremely well organized and covers the entire spectrum of investing. Grimes conveys his thoughts very clearly and completely. Unlike many other books on trading, Grimes doesn’t sugarcoat the fact that trading is hard; really hard. He also is very clear in his assertion that trading is complex. Fortunately, he outlines a complete plan that covers market cycles and structure, trading strategies (with-trend, countertrend, and mean reversion trades are all given equal weight) risk management, and finally, the psychological aspects of trading. Weighing in at over 450 pages, this is a dense read, and many of the messages within are only grasped after multiple readings, but it’s journey that I’m sure will benefit both beginners and professionals alike.
Jeffrey Fields (verified owner) –
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis is one of the best trading books I have read. It is a deep, insightful book with ideas and trading methods that are applicable to all trading time frames. Importantly, rigorous quantitative testing backs all of the trading strategies and patterns discussed. Additionally, there is an entire section of the book that discusses and provides several examples of how trading patterns fail. This is critical to understand and something not seen in many (if any) other trading books.
Adam also has a 100% free trading course (over 30 hours) that is also outstanding (available on his blog). If you are a serious trader/investor (whether beginner or experienced), I would highly recommend exploring this valuable free resource that Adam has created. It is a great complement to the book and helps cement (as well as build on) the ideas discussed in his book.
Adelyn Drake (verified owner) –
One of best trading book to have it. I’m a self-learner daily trader & already faced upside & downside worse scenario (good & bad positions already). been reading several trading books quiet long enough and finally found the right book for me. It turn me out to write a good review 1st time as ever. Because it’s my sincerely appreciation to author Adam Grimes how much this book is very helpful to me by sharing his Skills & Knowledge. His book show me the ideas how to approach closer to market Action/reaction and I pick up with my own style by combing base upon my past experiences. It become my bright light up. There many trading strategy books out there with different ideas, different point of view approach & different strategies play. Each author has their own professional skills by sharing their knowledge. What so ever, Adam’s skills & strategy are more likely me. My point of view is; whoever reading trading books, it’s better to understand ourselves 1st what’s your style and then better adapt to create your own strategy playbook. wishing Good luck to all readers.
Ramona Sherman (verified owner) –
Adam Grimes is an underrated personality in the technical analysts arena. I wish I had discovered his body of work earlier.
If you are serious about learning, buy his books, take his free online course, do his homework assignments. You will inevitably learn to trade. I’ve been busy devouring his content, and I can attest that I am miles ahead of where I was before I discovered him just 90 days ago.
My only complaint is that his book “The Art and Science…” is printed on the most inexpensive paper there is. I guess this is a minor, superficial detail. It is just that the contents of the book are so valuable that they ought to have been printed on top shelf paper.
Giovanni Little (verified owner) –
I had grown to believe in the primacy of price in trading, but had trouble finding quality education on the topic. I found what I was looking for with this book. Refreshingly, the book is extremely clearly written, and the content is all directly relevant and actionable. No fluff. If you’ve been reading trading books, but still have lingering questions like I did, I hope you find this book as satisfying as I did. The author has a bona fide trading background and is an excellent teacher. Through long experience, he knows exactly what is important and what is not when it comes to trading. I really enjoyed his free online course – it’s a great companion to the book, and despite being free, it’s the best course that I’ve been through, and I’ve spent thousands on other training.
Kamryn Esparza (verified owner) –
This book is definitely recommanded for beginners. It will put you in the right track right from the start. I can see that this book came from someone with experience, who is really trying to make things easy for beginners.
After you are done with this, you can concentrate on expanding your repertoirs and branch out in all kinds of directions. Lots of beginner books just don’t give you a unified framework for analyzing charts. This book does. A unified framework isn’t absolutely necessary, but it makes chart analysis easier. Most other books teach you many bits and pieces, or concentrate on an endless series of chart patterns or indicators, which is alright, but not ideal.
I had a bit of back and forth with the author on social media and he seems like a smart guy. Among other companies, he has worked at SMB Capital, a highly renowned daytrading firm. In that sense, I trust that this book comes from experience.
Annie Contreras (verified owner) –
This is a particularly good book if you have wasted time reading the typical technical analysis books as I have. The first book that started to wake me was Evidence Based Technical Analysis, which is essential first reading for would be analysts and traders. Grimes lays out a more focused and personal view of what works in markets. The essence on my first read is that the most important thing is a testable edge. Hand back testing and statistical analysis are the tools that can give a path to possible profits, but the development of a trader is a long and emotional one as Grimes points out. Testing ideas for profitability is the minimum requirement whether you use the subjective patterns Grimes lays out, or any more mystical approach too. Say you believe in Elliott wave, or Gann or Fibonacci retracements. Get a charting package and walk through past history day by day testing the idea as consistently as your “method” allows. Even if your results are positive, you still have work to do in achieving real results. Do not count on gurus or get rich quick schemes to get you to shortcut this process. If you think your method is untestable…well, it isn’t. All in, an excellent book in showing the trading game as it is, and what you must do if you intend to survive it.
Cadence Christian (verified owner) –
Undoubtedly, human-powered, individual technical trading, as the author introduces The Art and Science, is hard. Take this review with that in mind – I expect no significant expertise in the field to come or be easy and this is not a critique on literary excellence or factual depth.
What bothers me about the book is that paring back the nearly infinite number of variables that is the aggregate of instantaneous market action and the resultant seas of technical stock data to say, a purely arbitrary and relatively paltry fifteen hundred or five hundred or one hundred (insert your own number here; it matters little), and then expecting to apply even half a hundred technical analysis tools to that insurmountable data on Grime’s other early stated basis – which is to spend a little over a second for each chart view across 500 stocks in a single sitting – is simply mathematically impossible.
I’m 100 pages deep in the book and already I find a baffling number of technical advice hedges and counter-advice, which tells me what I as a novice trader already knew: There is such a sizable degree of complexity in what portends to be predictive trading that really the only way to make money is to climb aboard the overall market’s trend, assuming it has one at any one instant, and get in either long as it rises or short as it trends down. Again, assuming even that’s possible outside of guessing.
From Grimes website, quoting the book:
“It is critical that traders understand the subtleties of every tool they use. They should know how they react in every possible market environment, and furthermore, must understand the complex interactions between multiple tools. This may lead to an approach that disregards a lot of information that many traders assume to be useful, but, for instance, why would you use indicators that do not add to your analysis? Why would you listen to news that is old news and is already fully priced into the market? Why would you try to guess how complex fundamental factors might influence the price if you do not have the skills to fully understand those fundamentals?”
After you’ve used every tool you can, and after knowing how to react to every possible market environment, and after grasping every complex interaction between those multiple tools, how can you possibly BUT find all that information already priced into the market, I ask.
Like the book, this appears to be useful-appearing advice…but only theoretically. You cannot employ thirty or a hundred trading tools across those theoretical fifteen hundred candlesticks and trend variables – or five hundred or whatever number of them you care to use – and then compare to even five of Grime’s innumerable observations and do it either efficiently or with some reasonable degree of success. All that data takes all day to examine but a portion of and you’re still back to that slim percentage of daily or hourly winners versus losers.
Therefore what Grimes has done in The Art and Science is indeed to compile a comprehensive view of so-called technical analysis, but it is not, in sum, anything approaching a knowledge set that lends to it use as anything other than an encyclopedia of rather unassociated raw observations, each hedged against the other such that no real patternability is ever proved except by relative chance. Less than an encyclopedia, it is like “analyzing” the weather to find it comprised of chaotic “patterns” from which you can divine scant order and from scant order, virtually no predictability, and then writing the points down, each more or less notated as a rough guess.
Unless you are a weather supercomputer, or in the markets an algorithm, it’s impossible. I look at the calendar to more or less know that on average it’ll be warmer in summer. I look at the DOW and S&P now to know I’ll lose money when I’m in at the wrong time and place.
Art and Science is an exhaustive reference work to allow you to use hindsight to perhaps label what just happened with a term that will just as likely fail to apply the next time that phenomenon appears to prepare to occur again. It could be an different “pattern” emerging entirely, one that undoubtedly Grime’s book will, in some other of its many chapters, elaborate upon.
A few things are certain: Chaotic systems occur, markets are indeed efficient, and stock traders eventually end up writing books for a reason. Kudos to Grimes for a comprehensive work, one written pleasantly and readably.
The Art and Science has a use. I just can’t figure out what it might be. Have I just called technical trading impossible? I suppose I have and that’s not Grime’s fault; it’s mine. It’s just that below a certain point you can’t call diced onion, diced onion anymore. You have to demonstrate some degree of feasibility to call anything art and science instead of a thousand ways to throw darts at the board.
Adan Townsend (verified owner) –
One of the best books on trading by a real trader. The sub title Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies describes what you will learn in addition to risk management and trader psychology. Not to be read in one pass. This important work is to be studied with pen, paper, and highlighter. Get the workbook also along with the free course and it would be the best $100 you could spend if you take trading seriously.
Brittany Klein (verified owner) –
First the qualifier: if you are a beginning trader / investor, you will probably be confused unless you obtain basic understanding of technical analysis first. You should be, at least, basically familiar with concepts of support / resistance, trends, rudimentary candlestick charting, basic moving averages, and MACD. This book is really designed for experienced individual investors, money managers, and institutional investors. It is hard for me to quantify this prerequisite, because I have studied many books over the years on investing and trading. That being said, among the many, The Art and Science of Technical Analysis really stands out. I started out with the book and a highlighter and now have a book filled with yellow pages.
Several months have lapsed since I purchased The Art and Science of Technical Analysis. I waited long enough to complete the book cover to cover and begin incorporating the principles into my own trading. The reason I originally purchased was to learn how to obtain better entries for my trades. I received that, and more. I am a visual trader, and most of the books I have read on swing trading were based on moving averages, overbought/oversold indicators, trend lines, or some form of channels. Author Adam Grimes reinforces the use market structure to understand the forces of supply and demand which lie beneath the chart. Simple is better, and Grimes, a supreme analytical, has used quantitative analysis to back test many of the earmarks of technical analysis and found that many, at least from his research, offer no statistical edge over a large enough sample size.
His basic premise is that markets are, in fact, random most of the time. There will be little argument here from the academics. However, human nature being what it is, there are instances when price extremes occur due to greed or panic among enough participants of that market or instrument to provide trading opportunities (early 2016, for example). Grimes helps the trader establish an edge in that environment.
Much of the information in the book may not be entirely new, but at least for me, Grimes presented a different way of looking at it. And many of the facts and axioms I had assumed as true, because I had been taught that they were true, may not stand the test of time. I saw new ways of seeing support and resistance, finding than many lines drawn on charts are actually random. Moving averages are useful for mean reversion, or possibly identifying trend direction or integrity, but they do not offer real support or resistance- they are broken about as often as they hold.
One of the most useful concepts in this book, which I thought I knew but really didn’t, was how to use multiple time frames for trade qualification and entry/exit execution. I have been following multiple time frames since I read “Trading for a Living” by Alexander Elder, but Grimes refined for me ways to do it more visually, which is more fitting to my particular style.
While Elder’s book was also one of the best books I have read on swing trading, “The Art and Science of Technical Analysis” was better suited to my style and personality due to the visual nature and less reliance on mathematical indicators. It is the one book I keep nearby for re-analysis.
Kingsley Garrison (verified owner) –
This book is remarkable in that its content is truly comprehensive. I have read a few books on market structure and price action before this book, and none of them covers so many topics within the market structure domain. This is also a very rare book that explains crucial concepts systematically, logically, and clearly. I was surprised by how much I have learned by studying it for the past two months.
The book first introduces the fundamental concepts of Wyckoff’s market cycle and covers many tradable characteristics of the trend, trading range, and interfaces between them. Once the reader understands the fundamental concepts, the author proposes many trading ideas and strategies throughout the entire market cycle. Moreover, the author enhances the reader with real trade examples arranged based on the market cycle. He does not just show you the successful cases but highlights the failure cases as well. This book also complements John Magee’s book very well. I was puzzled by chart patterns’ price target measuring rules as to why they work. Adam’s book has thoroughly explained MMO. This explanation let me have the aha moment.
By now, most people will think the book is pretty complete already. But the author has gone far beyond and above. The author further demonstrated the relationship among different time frames and shown in great detail how the different time frames interact with each other, and how to combine these info to increase the success rate of the trades.
The book further surprises the reader by its exceptional discussion on risk management. Instead of boring readers with mathematic formulas, the author laid out a practical risk framework based on Kelly’s criterion that is simple enough to follow and easily simulated. I instantly figured out how to program these Monte Carlo simulations on my PC to meet my needs. As a self-directed trader, it isn’t easy to quantitatively evaluate and improve our trading performance. This book has provided a number of practical approaches to address this issue effectively. The appendix also studied the indicators in great depth. The SMA and EMA remind me of the FIR and IIR filters in digital signal processing along with the Nyquist frequency for sampling.
Trading in the financial market is like walking into zombie land. People get greedy when seeing the food and are fearful when hearing the screaming of the zombies. This book amazingly presented tools and strategies to help people navigate in this land with high probability.
In summary, this is a remarkable and fantastic book. Thank you, Adam, for sharing your in-depth knowledge in trading and thoughtful thinking by writing such a resourceful book.
Marcellus Reynolds (verified owner) –
It’s the best book by far, and I can say that since I’ve read more than 20 books of trading. Why didn’t Grimes write it before? I study it for 15 minutes every day -I,m in the nineth review- Every trade I take I first read the book’s pattern that should fit it.
Said that, however there’s an important thing I’m concerned about: due to the quality of the text, I signed up the website he advises, but there, he doesn’t prescribe his medicine. Only in a month with his tips I’ve lost 400 euros (I’m spanish) and more important he doesn’t apply what he sais in his book.
In addition I miss a further explanation with the indicators where you can find some contradictions.
Landon Benjamin (verified owner) –
This book is for sure different than any of all those I have read before on this topic. Adam Grimes has mastered the art to accomplish all of the following and merge it into an easy readable trading book without being ever at risk to oversimplify or being shallow:
– Analyzing market structure
– Dissecting it into small understandable pieces
– Explaining those pieces to new traders, but also giving interesting new views or comments to more experienced traders
– Putting them back together to better understand the big picture
– Putting them into a practical context
Pro:
Practical trading templates – he manages to draw a clear picture of his approach and set-ups without ever being dogmatic or disqualifying different approaches or opinions.
Statistical analysis of trade results – very nice introduction on how to analyze your results
At no point in time is he trying to upsell anything, nor does he make reference to any commercial offerings, tools etc. You can go to his blog/website and get a) a flavor of his style and b) a lot more examples, thoughts, stories etc. and as of latest a complete free trading course without any intent to upsell etc. This puts seriously at risk my belief that there is no free lunch…
He is never dogmatic, always humble in his style, words, approach, and accepts that there are tools which may not work for him, but maybe for others
Contra:
As per his own comments in his blog, this book was initially supposed to be 900 pages and was subsequently condensed into 450. I feel it is a pity of “losing” 450 pages of high value content.
A few notes:
Part I – Foundation of TA:
Edge – finally somebody who clearly states that you need an edge to win over the long run. Anybody who says or believes something different can stop reading here and buy some “get rich overnight w/o any effort” book. He also manages to transmit how small and vulnerable to many factors these edge in reality will be.
Market cycle – Nice introduction on the market forces and the 4 basic trades: trend continuation, trend termination, S/R holding, S/R breaking. Everything else are nuances or mixes of them, and while trading is much more complex than this, the basic understanding of it helps you put everything into a context.
Part II – Market Structure
Trends, trading ranges and interfaces between them.
Clear words and observations. Luckily, he manages to build the bridge to explain the underlying market structure and the relevant charts, without being dogmatic or boring on certain candle formations or other factors such as MA retracements, S/R points etc.
Part III – Trading Strategies
By far the best I have ever read.
Practical trading template – it is exactly what it says, clear concise template style set-ups over 50 pages showing his main templates with all the different nuances, potential entry strategies etc.
Tools for confirmation – Adam recognizes a certain value in certain indicators, but first of all stresses out the need to understand the indicator used in what it is measuring and how it is calculated, to ensure it is properly embedded in your approach. Again, he is not dogmatic, e.g. he explains while Keltner channels are arguably “better” than Bollinger bands, but is flexible in leaving the final decision to the reader.
Trade Management – I liked a few new thoughts on where to place the stops
Risk Management – nothing new here for anybody who read a few of the serious trading books. For the new trader it should still be eye-opening.
Trade examples – trading templates put into practice with a selection of not only text book examples, but also others with not so clear set-ups which are much closer to reality and even losing trades after text book set-ups.
Part IV – The individual, self-directed trader
The trader’s mind – again, probably nothing new for the experienced reader, but that does not make it less relevant, true or interesting for anybody.
Becoming a trader – Together with the chapter on trading templates probably the main differentiator to other trading books or so called. He clearly outlines the importance of a process and the relevant record keeping and journaling and then gives a very interesting insight into analyzing your trading results in order to find flaws and start improving.
Ledger Harrell (verified owner) –
Grimes’ work, and make no mistake, this IS a “work”, is as close to as good as it can honestly get in this genre. While written in simple accessible style, this is no breezy weekend read. One of the most sage bits of advice comes right at the start: when finished, go back and study certain chapters again.
The reader that will get the MOST out of this contribution, in my view, is someone who already has a bit of mud on their boots from the trenches. In the appendix he provides a “Primer” aimed at the novice. But it is SO basic (how to place an order) that the gesture seems more to mollify an anxious publisher’s jacket writer than serve the book’s main audience. If you just now got the “what are orders” part down, the take-homes of the book will be pretty fuzzy for awile. And the extra burdens of interpretation and active management a bit much to expect. There are other more full length primers out there. A (precious) few quite good.
This book is different. And that is what makes it special. While it IS a fairly comprehensive trading overview, the FOCUS of the book is interpreting and acting on largly uncluttered price action. Few books, even on technical analysis, narrow in on such a basic start point. And Grimes does so with organized, well expressed, non-contradictory prose. In other words, a treat.
Rather than remain safely high on cliche and low of detail, the book is rich with specific set-ups and engaging commentary.
Grounded in evidence based, probability founded science, it emphasizes the ART of making sense of it all. Of reasoned interpretation and discretionary decisions. This is refreshing. Many of the best books out there, as cognizant as Grimes of the disastrous effect of human nature, emotion and misjudgment, stress the opposite tact. The only hope is creating an “objective” testable system that marginalizes faulty judgment and emotion. The fact of the matter is, subjective opinion’s effects are STILL and always, everywhere. The day that ends – no more market. Yet each tiny choice changes each participant’s outcome. Gaining a lasting TRUE edge is key. Yet, given the high degree of randomness, this is extraordinarily illusive and very hard work.
Faced with this sober reality, his own approach is that of a swing trader. But in the more accurate, not popular sense. I recently put down Dave Landry’s Layman’s Guide. Both look at simplified price action and quite similar initial set-ups. Both advocate swing trading expectation (at least initially) and grabbing partial profit quite early. Where they DIVERGE in goals and trade management I find quite stimulating. Read!
I will just say Landry’s hybrid swing-trend blend SEEMS the more logical. A great compromise. The purer swing style coached by Grimes however is certainly more instinctual. More importantly it SEEMS the more realistic and prudent. Grimes makes you ask yourself how time-LIMITED a given entry set-up or bullish chart pattern is likely valid for. Dispite popular mantras, the more “miss than hit” challenge of PURE long term trend trading (enduring deep drawdowns that MUST be made up by sufficient extraordinary runs), is easier said than done. Especially in our times. Grimes’ insight, no, the very market structure he helps YOU see evolving, is like having a probability gauge, however slight, as you navigate your OWN way through the wall of fog known as the right margin.
Reviewers offering NOTHING but accolades can be suspected (sometimes with reason) to be the author’s mom or of his/her customer fan base. So here are two knocks. Sorry son: First. He suggests short and long versions of much of the book’s preferred patterns would basically be mirror images. Flip them and away you go. Really? Sometimes no doubt. But the implications and thus psychology can be dramaticaly different. Affecting the volatility and compression of the action. And therefore “how it go’na look”. Especially around possible signifigant tops and bottoms.
2nd “beef”: Record such a detailed personal Trading Diary that you include EVERYTHING right down to “what you had for breakfast”?? For future result analysis? I nearly choked on my cheerios, blurting: “Give me a break Adam!” Indeed elsewhere he echoes Nassim Taleb about the tendency of humans to see correlations and patterns where there are none. Such a tendency provides an endless boon for “the industry” and an ever present risk for traders. In equal measure. Yes yes his POINT is okay: As we are the main part of our trading equation: know thy state and self (warily).
Truly digesting THIS WORK, a diary can expect to show not only improved performance correlation but whetted appetite for MORE such nourishing fare. As the author would agree, no book is “all you need”. It never is. But for this one’s refreshingly GROUNDED discussions on SEEING risk and recognizing possibley superior set-ups at that hard right edge: My first 5 stars. Sail On!
Ermias White (verified owner) –
I liked this book a lot. I have followed the author’s writings since his days at “SMB Capital”. His new work is at adamgrimes.com/blog. In my opinion, all of the author’s work is worth reading. The book, “The Art and Science of Technical Analysis”, is pretty hefty at over 400 pages. For me, there is a TON of relevant information within this book, so much that it’s difficult to review, but I’ll try.
The author starts right in with an explanation of “Expectancy” and “Market Edge”. What, in the author’s opinion, defines a “trader’s edge”? It’s made clear in the book that the opinion is that market’s, MOST of the time, are very efficient. The reason I emphasize “most” is because it’s the opinion of the book that edge is defined as being aware of the moments when the market is NOT efficient and in that zone is where trading edge exist. This concept is covered in the first 5 pages and the remaining 400+ pages the attempt is made to present or make clear when markets are not being efficient. The author states early on that psychology is important and critical, but one can have the best mental attitude and emotional discipline and yet, without an edge, he/she will lose. The bottom line, as stated directly in the book, is that one MUST have edge, a clear statistical edge, and if this doesn’t exist, everything else is futile. This entire book is about creating that edge.
Charts are broken down at first by showing simply swing pivot points. Then the moves within the swing are broken apart. Then the author gets into multiple time frame trading. How the higher time frame “controls” the lower time frame. I do a LOT of this in my own trading and it’s very interesting. None of this is new per se, it’s the author’s approach that is new. I think what I’m trying to say is that we might know about multiple time frame trading, but if someone enables us to see something we haven’t seen before then I think this is worth the time.
The author then gets into the “Wykcoff Market Cycle”. There are 4 parts to this cycle and most traders I’m sure are aware of “Accumulation”, “Markup”, “Distribution” and “Markdown”. Most traders are aware of this but it’s the interface between the end of one cycle and the beginning of another on which the book concentrates. The author states that it’s the miscalculation of these phases where losses and dangerous trading situations exist. A considerable amount of time is spent on deciphering these transition modes. These insights, for me, were new, interesting and seem valid.
The next part of the book is on “Market Structure”. The first stop within this section is “trends”. The author talks about what defines a trend and talks at length about trend trading, but also in this section “range trading” is discussed. The author states that failed breakouts are one of the most common patterns in trading. How to determine a failed breakout from a “legitimate” breakout is very difficult but I really believe that the author’s insights into this area of trading can be very helpful.
As you go deeper into the book you see, and the author explains, there are 4 types of trades. There is trend continuation, trend termination, support and resistance holding and support and resistance failing. Now, these are the 4 types of basic trades but there are countless permutations of these formations. Each of these 4 types of trades is more appropriate during one market cycle then another. It can get confusing. This book does a more than adequate job at clarifying these trades.
The next part of the book gets into “Practical Trading Templates”. In this chapter/section the author list trading patterns, or rather potential trading patterns. There’s a lot here, but essentially there are Primary and Secondary patterns. The Primary trades are breakouts, pullbacks and trades from “failures”.
The author then devotes a chapter to “Tools For Confirmation”. This chapter I liked a lot since one of my several weaknesses as a trader is staying with the trade to fruition. I especially like his analysis of multiple time frame confirmations. I like the concept of paying attention to the highest time frame and then going down from the top.
There is an entire chapter on Risk Management.
In the appendix the author analyzes certain indicators, one of them being the MACD. He states that any trader should know his tools inside and out. They should know how the tool was designed and exactly what it is and what it’s intended to be. I use MACD in my trading and I’m guilty of the exact type of ignorance about which the author speaks. I read this segment many times and I think it’s excellent.
All in all, this is a meaty book and I read it twice. I’m still re-reading certain parts and I took a lot of notes and underlined a lot of points. I don’t write many reviews and as far as trading books go my feeling is that they are long on price and short on relevance. I don’t feel that about this book at all. The points are presented in a unique way and I like that. It makes me think about trading differently and enables me to see something I’ve looked at many times in a different way. That is certainly worth the price of a book. I’m working with some of the points and it will take some practice. In my opinion, this is definitely a worthwhile read. The author’s blog is also a worthwhile read. Hope this helps.