Forecasting Financial Markets

Tony Plummer’s Forecasting Financial Markets is one of the most influential works in behavioral finance, market psychology, and cyclical forecasting. Plummer integrates crowd psychology, liquidity dynamics, price behavior, and cyclical rhythm into a unified model that explains why markets move rather than simply how they move.

This digital book explores the deeper structure behind market activity — the emotional patterns, feedback loops, and behavioral cycles that recur across history. Plummer explains how market participants follow predictable emotional sequences, creating rhythm in price movement that can be analyzed, anticipated, and traded.

The book combines classical technical analysis, behavioral science, timing cycles, liquidity flows, and the psychology of crowd reactions. Plummer provides a systematic model for analyzing turning points, recognizing tension-release cycles, understanding collective emotional states, and forecasting trend transitions. His framework helps traders move beyond surface-level indicators and into the underlying forces shaping financial markets.

For traders seeking a deeper, psychological, and cyclical model of forecasting — beyond charts and indicators alone — this work is essential and timeless.

✅ What You’ll Learn:

• The psychological foundations of market behavior
• How crowd emotions shape trends, reversals, and volatility
• The construction of Plummer’s behavioral model of financial markets
• How liquidity and feedback loops create price rhythm
• The role of tension and release patterns in market structure
• Cyclical forces that drive long-term and short-term movements
• How to anticipate turning points using behavioral cues
• How to combine psychology with classical technical analysis
• How markets self-organize through emotional synchronization
• How to build a forecasting model based on psychology and cycles

💡 Key Benefits:

• Gain a deep psychological understanding of market movement
• Improve forecasting accuracy using behavioral and cyclical insights
• Learn a model that transcends conventional chart-reading
• Strengthen emotional discipline through understanding crowd behavior
• Build confidence in anticipating turning points
• Access a timeless framework applied across all asset classes

👤 Who This Book Is For:

• Intermediate and advanced traders studying market psychology
• Technical analysts seeking a behavioral explanation for patterns
• Cycle researchers and macro analysts
• Traders wanting to anticipate turning points more reliably
• Anyone who wants to understand why markets move, not just how

📚 Table of Contents:

– Part One: The logic of non-rational behaviour in financial markets

• Wholly individual or indivisibly whole
• Two’s a crowd
• The individual in the crowd
• The systems approach to crowd behaviour
• Cycles in the crowd
• Approaches to forecasting crowd behaviour

– Part Two: The dynamics of the bull–bear cycle

• The stock market crowd
• The shape of the bull–bear cycle
• Energy gaps and pro-trend shocks
• The spiral and the golden ratio
• The mathematical basis of price movements
• The shape of things to come

– Part Three: Forecasting turning points

• The phenomenon of cycles
• The threefold nature of cycles
• Economic cycles
• Recurrence in economic and financial activity
• Integrating the cycles
• Forecasting with cycles
• Price patterns in financial markets
• The Elliott wave principle
• Information shocks and corrections
• The confirmation of buy and sell signals

– Part Four: The psychology of trading

• The psychology of fear
• The troubled trader
• The psychology of success
• Summary and conclusions

Forecasting Financial Markets: The Psychology of Successful Investing By Tony Plummer