Win with Proven Stock Selection and Market Timing Tools
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| Author(s) | |
|---|---|
| Format |
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| Pages |
209 |
| Published Date |
2009 |
In Beat the Market, Win with Proven Stock Selection and Market Timing Tools, You will learn readily followed, easy-to-understand, and efficient stock market indicators associated with general levels of interest rates that will help you identify those periods when stocks are very likely to advance in price, when they are only just likely to advance in price, when you might just as well stay home, and when staying home with your capital is likely to be an excellent idea.
You will also learn an indicator that is designed to identify, by just one weekly indicator of stock market performance, the time when prices are likely to continue to rise for weeks—often even for months—with a high probability of accuracy. The best gains in the stock market occur when this indicator is in effect. At other times, gains tend to be more limited. The combination of these indicators may be taken to reflect the Weekly Market Power Gauge. When the gauge is indicating unanimous strength in the indicators you follow, the odds very heavily favor being in stocks. Low readings in the gauge suggest caution.
In other words, you will learn how and when to put the probabilities on your side—to invest when risks are the least and to recognize when risks are the greatest. You will also learn how to build your stock portfolio—what to buy and what not to buy—and how to blend the components of your portfolio in such a way that the whole is better performing than the average of its parts, as well as how to select mutual funds and exchange traded funds that are most likely to outperform the average stock, fund, or exchange-traded fund.
Contents:
- Your Basic Investment Strategy
- Bond-Stock Valuation Models—A Key Market Forecasting Tool
- Government Bond Yields Compared to Earnings Yields
- Achieving a 92.59% Profit Ratio
- How to Gauge the True Inner Pulse of the Stock Market
- Indicator Synergy Plus
- Creating the Best Blends of Risk and Reward in Your Portfolio
- Putting Together Your Winning Investment Portfolio
- A Primer for Profitable Mutual Fund Selection
- Momentum Investing—Win by Going with the Flow
- The Final Word
Beat the Market, Win with Proven Stock Selection and Market Timing Tools By Gerald Appel pdf
3 reviews for Win with Proven Stock Selection and Market Timing Tools
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Anika Meyers (verified owner) –
As with the first reviewer, I know that this model, system, strategy is defunct for this market. The bond-stock valuation system is promoted by Appel in his book over a period between 1981 and 2007. As history now states that was the greatest bull market in US history. So along with many strategies and systems built in that 30 year bull market they are now shelved. His backtesting and evidence of results looks solid, it is a simple model that was very effective given discipline. One thing that bothered me as a technical trader is that he didn’t run his system back 80 years to check the results. Most technical indicators and alarms are backtested in this manner to check their effectiveness in different market conditions. It would have been very interesting to see how it performed through the chop of the 70’s when bond and stock valuations were very out of whack, as they are now.
If I had the time I would go deeper. Buyer beware, not sure if this model will be as effective as it was over the past 30 years now that the playing field was blown up.
His coverage of market timing indicators is good, but textbook.
Appel writes clearly. He knows his model and knows what he is doing. Perhaps his timing was off when publishing this book. Hopefully he will respond to this review. I do like the elegance of his model.
Nova Kemp (verified owner) –
The book had a couple of ideas worth noting, but some of the ideas have been much imporved over time. The book is more like a collection of notes.
Julien Dunn (verified owner) –
Gerald Appel is a respected market technician with many achievements and I generally like what he has written in the past. This is the reason I got this book. However after reading the first several chapters, I am little disappointed.
The most disappointing issue is the advertised bond-stock valuation models in chapter 2. Gerald apparently has quite high confidence in this model and based on this model, we would have a very good chance to have a bull market since end of 2007. However, as we all know know, there is a brutal bear market which wiped out more than half of major stock index since Oct. 2007 through Mar. 2009. The model only predicted max drawdown of around 11% in bullish periods, however this is totally off the mark this time. People following this model would have suffered great loss this time around. So this model is a complete breakdown this time. It probably should be abandoned or need major revision.
Compared to Gerald’s earlier book “Opportunity Investing”, this books may not be a clear winner. If you own that book, there probably is not too much need for this one, especially with the wrong model being promoted in the book.
The book, in general, is a quick read and many stuffs are easy to follow. But with any market timing model, things can completely break down. So use your judgment cautiously. Verify everything you want to follow.