45 Years In Wall Street: A Review of the 1937 Panic and 1942 Panic, 1946 Bull Market with New Time Rules and Percentage Rules with Charts for Determining the Trend on Stocks
William Delbert Gann (6 June, 1878 – 14 June, 1955) also known as W. D. Gann, was a finance trader who developed the technical analysis tool known as Gann angles. Gann market forecasting methods are based on geometry, astrology, and ancient mathematics. Opinions are sharply divided on the value and relevance of his work. Gann wrote a number of books on trading, the classic text being 45 Years in Wall Street. Gann has developed a very faithful group of followers and adherents.
Introduction (By W. D. GANN):
In 1910 at the request of friends I wrote a small booklet entitled “Speculation a Profitable Profession.” In this booklet I gave the rules that helped me to make a success in my personal trading. January, 1923, I wrote, “Truth of the Stock Tape” to help those who were trying to help themselves in speculation and investment trading. This book was favorably received by the public and many proclaimed it my Masterpiece. The book fulfilled its mission as evidenced by letters from grateful readers.
After predicting the great panic in 1929 there was a call for a new book to bring “Truth of the Stock Tape” up to date. I answered that call in the early part of 1930 by writing “Wall Street Stock Selector” giving my readers the benefit of practical experience in which I developed new rules since 1923. In “Wall Street Stock Selector” I predicted the “Investors Panic,” and said that it would be the greatest panic the world had ever known. This prediction was fulfilled by the panic which ended in July, 1932, with some stocks declining to the lowest levels they had reached for the past 40 to 50 years.
A great advance followed the 1932 panic and my rules helped many people to make substantial profits. In 1935 satisfied readers asked me to write a new book. I responded to that call by writing my third book “New Stock Trend Detector” in the latter part of 1935, giving the benefit of my experience and new and practical rules which I had discovered. Since 1935 many changes have taken place; the market passed through the panic of 1937 which was forecast by me. The decline ended in March, 1928, and a minor Bull Market followed to November 10, 1938.
The second World War started September l,”1939, and the United States entered the war in December, 1941. After we were in the war a further liquidation in stocks occurred and final lows were reached April 28, 1942, when stocks sold below the low level of ,1938 at the lowest levels since 1932. From the lows in 1942 a prolonged advance followed which continued after the end of the Japanese War in August, 1945.
1946, May 29, stocks sold at the highest level they had reached since 1929. My rules and my forecast called the top of this advance and the sharp decline which followed to October 30, 1946, when final low was reached. Fourteen years have passed since writing my last book and I have gained more knowledge through actual market operations. The world is upset and confused; investors and traders are puzzled over the business depression and the decline in the stock market. Many have written requesting me to write a new book. With the desire to help others I have written “45 Years in Wall Street” giving the benefit of my experience and my new discoveries to aid others in these difficult times. I am now in my 72nd year; fame would do me no good. I have more income than I can spend for my needs, therefore, my only object in writing this new book is to give to others the most valuable gift possible-KNOWLEDGE! If a few find the way to make safer investments my object will have been accomplished and satisfied readers will be my reward.
Contents:
- I. Is It More Difficult to Make Profits Now Than Before
- II. Rules for Trading in Stocks
- III. How to Select Independent Movers
- IV. Percentage of High and Low Prices
- V. Time Periods of Short Duration Correct Prices
- VI. Time Periods for Important Swings on the Averages
- VII. Dow Jones 30 Industrial Averages 3-Day Chart Moves
- VIII. Months when Extreme Highs and Lows were Recorded
- IX. June Lows Comparison for Future Highs
- X. Volume of Stock Sales on New York Stock Exchange
- XI. 15 Public Utility Averages
- XII. Puts, Calls, Rights and Warrants on Stocks
- XIII. New Discoveries and Inventions
- XIV. Great Market Operators of the. Past
- XV. Stocks Liquidated
- XVI. Can United States Afford Another War?
45 Years In Wall Street By W. D. Gann PDF
Axton Moran (verified owner) –
Very good book for the stock trader. Summery given in initial pages gives a good insight about the writer and his knowledge
Belle Lucero (verified owner) –
Good book with some basic information about trading à nd a lot more about author’s hard work behind conceptualization of trading.
Ellianna Portillo (verified owner) –
not nearly as readable as wyckoff’s ventures and adventures over 40 years. too much space devoted to abstracts of stock movements. there is a mystical core in gann’s theories which is difficult to understand and accept in current market methodology.
Stephen Lester (verified owner) –
Great book and contains the rules you should follow as a stock trader.
Brittany Barnett (verified owner) –
The first thing you must understand is that Gann was not a trader. He came from a farming background and had a good understanding of crops, which he initially used to make money in grain futures. However, after a very short period the luck soon ran out, the losses mounted and his trading career was over.
This is when he started writing, which is something he was good at and never seemed to stop. It is also how he made a modest living along with public speaking and seminars. There are endless amounts of published work by Gann, but to me nothing of any significance. When you look at successful traders almost all of them are anonymous private people who never publish work.
This book is very unexciting with little detail of events or trading knowledge as you would expect form a journalist, probably the worst book on trading I have ever seen. My three words of advice for you are, don’t buy it!
Rosa Petersen (verified owner) –
Excellent book!
Marlowe Benitez (verified owner) –
Very important book for trading and investing one time must read this book if u want to became good stock trader.
Dylan Burke (verified owner) –
Most famous for his 24 never-failing rules – basically follow the trend, use stop losses, and never average down. Also includes lots of useful Dow data back to 1912 – with swing charts, etc.
Queen Copeland (verified owner) –
“45 Years in Wall Street” was actually Gann’s last book, written in 1949 (he issued a revised edition of his commodities book in 1951), in which he presents the final version of his cycles-based system. Since cycles can extend, shorten, invert, and skip, Gann offers several trend-following methods to minimize damage from forecasting mistakes and to keep one on the right side of the markets. His excellent, 24 trading rules afford advice on money management, risk management, trend-following, trade entry, and exit techniques that are currently valid.
Gann always openly hinted that the details for his celebrated forecasting method were concealed in his writings. This book, as is all others written by Gann, is written on two levels. The first level is expository and describes how to swing-trade. The arcana submerged in the second level can be approached by examining the recurrent themes about time, price, and geometry, and the dates which he feels are significant. Details for Gann’s time and price model are contained in all of his books and major courses with the exception of “Tunnel Through the Air.”
Strangely, the weakest part of this book is the final chapter with Gann’s predictions for the early 1950s. Gann felt that 1953 was going to be a year of post-war depression rivalling the great depression of the 1930s. His cycle model indicated a strong down-turn which actually became a cyclical inversion where the market turned sharply upwards – such are the hazards of public forecasting! However, Gann followers should not have lost money during the 1953 inversion, because their swing-trade methods would have self-corrected this forecast error.
Whatever level one chooses to tackle, this book is a worthwhile addition to anyone’s trading library.
Marshall Meza (verified owner) –
I have read too many books about stock markets, after awhile you realize it’s time to knock on WD.Gann doors and start reading his books, 2 years back I did that and found out its not only complicated but its darn hard to find any one who really mastered it, except for 1 or 2, Gann method is a bit mysterious but the concept behind it is true science Gann tried to show the market in a simple forum in this book which is not, for a guy like me i did understand his concept though at the beginning the book was a bit boring? If its wasn’t for my experience in some of Gann methods this book would be a 3 stars book!. I highly advice people to read more about Gann background as it will shed some light on his methodology and way of thinking while reading his books.
Remember,,,as Gann put it ,as more knowledgable you be the more profit you will gain !
Vera Leon (verified owner) –
This book was written in 1949. By all means what put forth by Gann as the 12 and the 24 rules are still valid today. In fact, his ideas are still being copied in simply all other trading books. Even the diary like section in Soros’ Alchemy of Fianance did resembled the style of a majority part of this book. In short, a must read for any trader!
Remark: One might think that I am a crazy Gann friend. To justifiy the title I put for this review, I would like to summarize Gann’s 12 and 24 rules for one’s reference:-
The 12 rules:-
1. Determine the trend
2. Buy at single, double and triple bottoms
3. Buy and sell on percentages
4. Buy and sell on 3 weeks’ advance or decline
5. Market moves in sections/waves
6. Buy or sell on 5 to 7 point moves
7. Study volume to determine change in trend
8. Study time factor and time periods to determine change in trend. (p.s. when a time period on a decline exceeds that of a previous decline, it indicates a change in trend)
9. Buy on higher tops and bottoms
10. A change in trend often occurs just before or after holidays. (p.s. when prices are at high levels there are usually several swings up and down, then when the market breaks the low of the last swing it indicates a reversal and change in trend)
11. Buy on a second reaction at a higher bottom. When it reacts only 2 days, it is in a very strong position.
12. Price gains in fast moves does not last very long.
The 24 rules:-
1. Never risk one tenth of capital in one trade.
2. Always use stop loss orders.
3. Never overtrade.
4. Never let a profit run into a loss.
5. Do not buck the trend.
6. When in doubt, get our or dont get in.
7. Trade only active stocks.
8. Equal distribution of risk in 4 or 5 stocks.
9. Trade market order.
10. Dont clsoe your trades without a good reason.
11. Accumulate a surplus
12. Never buy just to get a dividend.
13. Never average a loss.
14. Never get out/in of the market because of impatience or anxiety.
15. Avoid taking small profits and big losses.
16. Never cancel a stop loss order after you placed it.
17. Avoid getting in and out of the market too often.
18. Be just as willing to seel short as you are to buy. Let your object be to keep with the trend and make money.
19. Never buy/sell just because the price is low/high.
20. Wait till the stock is very active and has crossed resistance levels before pyramiding.
21. Select stocks with small volume of shares outstanding to pyramid on the buying side.
22. Never hedge one stock by another.
23. Trade with a plan and do not get out without a definite indication of a change in trend.
24. Avoid increasing trading size after a long period of success.
Adalynn Fields (verified owner) –
After reading this book and watching all the videos on website http://www.timesales.ru I finally came to a profitable trading system
Wallace Tang (verified owner) –
A bit dated but some pearls can be extracted.
Clayton Estes (verified owner) –
Dr. Gann’s thorough explanation of rules is priceless. New and seasoned investors should make this one to keep with them to read over and over till his rules become clear and fluid in your everyday portfolio management. A great man and a remarkable book!
Justice Jordan (verified owner) –
I really enjoyed this book. It is a very quick read, but you will find yourself referring to it time and time again. This book is truly worth “millions”, imvho.
Averi Willis (verified owner) –
There are many new comers in the investing and trading business try to tell you how to nowadays. Gann has done it 50 and 100 years ago. He wrote down his experience and knowledge that every trader and investor should know in a clear and concise language. He is the master. Get to know him and his books first before you learn from anyone else.
Celeste Nelson (verified owner) –
This book by Gann talks about the historical movements in the U.S. stock market. His premise is that we need to know history because “nothing is new under the sun,” and what happened in the past will give us clues to future movements. I learned more in this small book than I have in expensive trading courses.
Remington Schmitt (verified owner) –
This is a sort of classic cult book on Wall Street forecasting. WD Gann has a wonderful writing style and his easy-to-understand prose is what every investor and trader should absorb in their thoughts. This is also a very strange book book because it’s short and bookended with great ideas but the middle of the book is almost worthless..Almost… Gann is a clearly a believer in the cycles of the market and he goes through numerous examples of the peaks and valleys of the markets. Why we as readers in 2013 would benefit, I don’t know. Because of the wisdom embedded in this short book are dispersed you must hunt in all the pages and you will profit by his words. In summary, a book that is unconventional but extremely useful for your trading success