A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing
$14.76
Author(s) | |
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Pages |
452 |
Format |
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Published Date |
2007 |
A Random Walk Down Wall Street includes new strategies for rearranging your portfolio for retirement, along with the book’s classic life-cycle guide to investing, which matches the needs of investors in any age bracket.
Author’s Introduction:
A Random Walk Down Wall Street takes a hard look at the basic thesis of earlier editions of Random Walk-that the market prices stocks so efficiently that a blindfolded chimpanzee L’irowing darts at the Wall Street Journal can select a portfolio that performs as well as those managed by the experts.
Through the past thirty-five years, that thesis has held up remarkably well. More than twothirds of professional portfolio managers have been outperformed by the unmanaged S&P 500 Index. Nevertheless, there are still both academics and practitioners who doubt the validity of the theory.
And the stock-market crash of October 1987, as well as the crashette of July 2002, raised further questions concerning the vaunted efficiency of the market.
This edition explains the recent controversy and reexamines the claim that it’s possible to “beat the market.” I conclude in chapter 11 that reports of the death of the efficient-market theory are vastly exaggerated. I will, however, review the evidence on a number of techniques of stock selection that are believed to tilt the odds of success in favor of the individual investor.
The book remains fundamentally a readable investment guide for individual investors. As I have counseled individuals and families about financial strategy, it has become increasingly clear to me that one’s capacity for risk-bearing depends importantly upon one’s age and ability to earn income from noninvestment sources.
It is also the case that the risk involved in most investments decreases with the length of. time the investment can be held. For these reasons, optimal investment strategies must be age-related. Chapter 14, entitled ·~ LifeCycle Guide to Investing,” should prove very helpful to people of all ages. This chapter alone is worth the cost of a high-priced appointment with a personal financial adviser.
Contents:
- Firm Foundations and Castles in the Air
- The Madness of Crowds
- Stock Valuation from the Sixties through the Nineties
- The Biggest Bubble of All: Surfing on the Internet
- Technical and Fundamental Analysis
- Technical Analysis and the Random-Walk Theory
- How Good Is Fundamental Analysis?
- A New Walking Shoe: Modem Portfolio Theory
- Reaping Reward by Increasing Risk
- Behavioral Finance
- Poshots at the Efficient-Market Theory and Why They Miss
- A Fitness Manual for Random Walkers
- Handicapping the Financial Race: A Primer in Understanding and Projecting Returns from Stocks and Bonds
- A Life-Cycle Guide to Investing
- Three Giant Steps Down Wall Street
A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing By Burton G. Malkiel pdf
17 reviews for A Random Walk Down Wall Street: The Time-Tested Strategy for Successful Investing
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Paisleigh Nicholson (verified owner) –
Good read. Gets into specifics unlike other books which can be vague as hell.
Dante Vance (verified owner) –
As a 19 year old interested in Finance, I found this book to be informative and engaging. For individuals like my self that may not be too concerned about retirement age, the book seemed mundane at times. Overall a good book with a plethora of knowledge.
Valery Castillo (verified owner) –
Lots of good antedotes, but too cynical at times.
Maxine Bryan (verified owner) –
GREAT
Murphy Adkins (verified owner) –
Quick read marred by being elementary but gave it away to someone who was convinced by christian radio that he had a sure-fire way to make money at options trading. one born every etc.
Faye Kelley (verified owner) –
Great read
Tyson Graves (verified owner) –
Interesting. Worth the read
Kai Frederick (verified owner) –
Starts off with fun history, but the deeper you go …. Hopefully a eye opener, life saver, to the gambler type investor.
Rodrigo Arellano (verified owner) –
For general knowledge or to complement your academic course. A clear path to understanding the stock market and its history.
Weston Felix (verified owner) –
Excellent advice.
Sariyah Bush (verified owner) –
It was meant to be pristine, but it was not. Still, an OK quality. Approved!
Malik Correa (verified owner) –
excellent book
Elle Russell (verified owner) –
Must read.
Jaxtyn Elliott (verified owner) –
Best book I ever read about investing, and I’ve read a few. Still keeps me from pulling out when the market falls.
Lily Schmitt (verified owner) –
To clear up what some readers misconceive, I found the author’s summary at the end of Ch. 4 helpful: “Probably more so than any other chapter in the book, this review of the Internet [sic] bubble seems inconsistent with the view that the stock market is rational and efficient. The lesson from this chapter, it seems to me, is not that markets occasionally can be irrational and, therefore, that we should abandon the firm-foundation theory. Rather, . . . in every case, the market did correct itself. The market eventually corrects any irrationality . . . .” So in short, Malkiel acknowledges the market temporarily becomes irrational but eventually corrects such irrationality; thus, the market eventually acts rational.
In my view, even if the market eventually acts rational, the market acts inefficiently as Malkiel admits: “markets occasionally can be irrational.” As Malkiel points out, the market acted irrationally for years by over valuing internet stocks during the late 1990’s. A market that fails to rationally value companies for years acts inefficiently.
So far, I like the book and take away its points. However, that does not mean I changed my thinking. As I pointed out in the example above, Malkiel’s points strengthen by view: at times, the markets act irrational. Because at times, the markets acts irrationally, the market is inefficient. Because the market is inefficient, investors who understand the inefficiency can consistently produce a return greater than the market. Read the Market Wizard series where Jack Schwager interviews investors who have done so.
Noelle Thornton (verified owner) –
Realistic and well supported equity investment perspective. The book stands the test of time illustrated by the significant number of new editions each with same foundational advice.
Emelia Davidson (verified owner) –
Burton’s philosophy that the market is un-tradeable has long been disproven. When Burton first wrote this tome, he did not have the computing power we have today. He lifted weekly prices from the Wall St. Journal and tested a few stocks on mainframes running punch cards. Burton never knew the secrets of successful trading, and therefore never knew how to test for it and trade like a seasoned professional. So, like a poor sport, he declared it could not be done and published this depressing book. But in the last 33 years, books like Market Wizards, One Up on Wall St, How to Make Money in Stocks by O’Neil, and scores of traders who have consistently won the US Investing Championships have provided audited evidence that technical analysis indeed does work and that Burton’s claims are false. Traders can and do beat the market on a regular basis, and many have made tens of millions and some hundreds of millions (Richard Dennis, William Ekhart, with audited results). Burton’s buy and hold methods are passable if you just want to keep pace with the market and don’t want to do any work. It’s called passive investing and you’ll get out of it as much as you put into it. And that’s fine. But don’t believe him when he says technical analysis doesn’t work. Years ago, James Randi, the famous debunker of fraudulent paranormal claims, showed the weakness of PhDs. He proved a group of Ph.D’s who had validated Uri Geller and authenticated he could read minds and bend keys with his brain were indeed tricked by Geller. The PhDs didn’t know the craft of the illusionist, and were unable to detect his tricks. It’s the same with PhDs claiming technical analysis doesn’t work, but in reverse. They don’t know the craft of trading, which takes years to learn. They run a few unskilled back-tests with sloppy exit rules, get sour results, then proclaim it can’t be done. When the evidence of the many successful traders appears, they disingenuously dismiss their success by saying that a few players are bound to win. Nonsense. Not the same people in repeated trading, year after year after year, accumulating fortunes. My advice to you is after reading this depressing, uninspiring and deflating book, pick up Market Wizards by Jack Schwager, and get inspired again. I’ve become a millionaire twice in the stock market. If I can do it, you can too.